IKAR in Mass and Industry Media

Russia's IKAR consultancy raises 2025 wheat crop, export forecasts again

Reuters

MOSCOW, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Russia's IKAR consultancy raised its 2025 wheat crop forecast to 85.5 million metric tons on Monday from 84.5 million tons previously, in its second upward revision this month.

Dmitry Rylko, head of IKAR, said the increase was prompted by improved assessments for the centre of the country and the Volga region, as well as for the Urals and Siberia.

The agency also raised its wheat export forecast for the new marketing season to 42.5 million tons from 41.5 million tons previously.

IKAR increased its total 2025 grain crop forecast to 132 million metric tons from 130.5 million tons, and its grain export forecast to 54.5 million tons from 53.0 million metric tons.

The main grain-producing regions in southern Russia have completed harvesting of barley and wheat, with Stavropol, Krasnodar and Rostov producing in total about 28 million tons, according to local authorities.

The Ministry of Agriculture said on Wednesday almost half of all growing areas in Russia had been harvested for the 2025 crop. It said grain production had reached 75 million tons, and yields were higher than last year.

The ministry's current forecast for the 2025 grain harvest is 135 million tons. The forecast for grain exports in the 2025/26 season is 53-55 million tons, including 43-44 million tons of wheat.

18.08.25

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