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Russian 2025 grain harvest could reach 130 mln tonnes, but winter crop development lagging - institute

Interfax

MOSCOW. Nov 2 (Interfax) - The Institute for Agricultural Market Studies has published its initial forecast for the Russian 2025 grain harvest, according to which the country may produce 130 million tonnes of grain.

The institute previously estimated that the wheat harvest will stand at 81 million to 85 million tonnes in 2025.

"If we forecast the wheat harvest using the more realistic figure of 85 million tonnes, then the overall grain harvest could be around 130 million tonnes," the institute's general director Dmitry Rylko told Interfax.

Both forecasts are very tentative, and whether they prove true depends on many factors, he said. "For example, currently one of the main problems increasing risks is the serious, ubiquitous lag in the development of winter crops. I can't recall a time when, at this point in the season, most of European territory had crops still in the 'sprouting' phase, with some areas showing no emergence at all. Usually, a significant portion of winter crops enters the winter at the tillering stage," he said.

"Of course, no disaster has occurred yet. The rains have come in the regions, the wheat has swollen and mostly come out, but a very serious lag in development remains the chief problem," he said.

https://interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/107337/

02.11.24

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