IKAR in Mass and Industry Media

Russian wheat prices down, pressured by new crop

Reuters

Russian wheat export prices fell last week for the third week in a row, under pressure from the new crop and signs it could be larger than previously assumed, analysts said on Monday.

Russian wheat with 12.5% protein loading from Black Sea ports was at $201 a tonne free on board (FOB) for supply in August-September at the end of last week, down $4 from the week before, agriculture consultancy IKAR said in a note.

Sovecon, another Moscow consultancy, pegged wheat at $200 per tonne, down $5. Barley fell by $1 to $182 a tonne.

IKAR and Sovecon have been raising their estimates for Russia’s 2020 wheat crop in the last couple of weeks, but both remain cautious on its prospects in the Urals and Siberia, which were hit by dry weather.

Corn has also been hit in Russia’s south, which accounts for 50% of the country’s sowing area, SovEcon said. The main grain producing regions in the European part of Russia are expected to be mostly dry this week.

Russia has already exported 4.5 million tonnes of grain, including 3.6 million tonnes of wheat, since the start of the 2020/21 season on July 1, and exports are expected to speed up further soon.

Russia’s August grain exports are estimated at 4.9 million tonnes, up from 3.0 million tonnes in July, Sovecon said.

Other Russian data provided by Sovecon and IKAR:

 Product:            Price at the end       Change from week
                        of last week:                earlier
 - Domestic 3rd         12,300 rbls/t              -100 rbls
 class wheat,               ($167.6)   
 European part of                      
 Russia, excludes                      
 delivery                              
 (Sovecon)                             
 - Sunflower seeds      24,375 rbls/t              unchanged
 (Sovecon)                             
 - Domestic             57,325 rbls/t              +150 rbls
 sunflower oil                         
 (Sovecon)                             
 - export                      $800/t                   -$25
 sunflower oil                         
 (Sovecon)                             
 - Soybeans             29,000 rbls/t              +500 rbls
 (Sovecon)                             
 - white sugar,                $394/t                    -$3
 Russia's south                        
 (IKAR)                                

($1 = 73.3926 roubles)

19.08.20

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